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LANL's record $4.6B budget will still mostly fund nuclear weapons

By Scott Wyland swyland@sfnewmexican.com
Jan 3, 2023

Los Alamos National Laboratory’s record $4.6 billion budget for this fiscal year will give officials an unprecedented amount of money for its nuclear weapons program, which still makes up the bulk of the lab’s spending.

The lab’s hefty funding was part of the U.S. Energy Department’s budget request tucked into the recently passed $1.7 trillion omnibus spending package, which will cover the costs of agencies and programs through this fiscal year, ending in October.

Roughly 70 percent of the lab’s funding is for its nuclear weapons program, which includes research, computer testing and pursuing the goal of producing 30 plutonium bomb cores, or “pits,” per year by 2026.

Plans call for Savannah River Site in South Carolina to make an additional 50 pits by 2035. The combined 80-pit goal was established under the Trump administration and is being carried forth by President Joe Biden.

Pentagon leaders, nuclear security officials and some politicians say the pits are needed to modernize the arsenal so it will act as a stronger deterrent against Russia, China and rogue states, which are improving their first-strike capabilities. The pits also would be fashioned to fit at least one new warhead being developed.

The war in Ukraine and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s threats to unleash nuclear weapons if any country directly intervened in the conflict have heightened tensions and led to the military establishment pushing harder to bolster the arsenal through increased spending.

This year’s $858 billion military budget is the largest in memory. And the National Nuclear Security Administration, the Energy Department branch that oversees nuclear weapons, received $22.3 billion, a bump from the $20.7 billion it got last year.

In an email, Shayela Hassan, a nuclear security agency spokeswoman, wrote the budget increase is necessary to fund the program in the current times.

“This is the most demanding moment in the history of our nation’s nuclear enterprise since the Manhattan Project,” Hassan wrote.

Modernizing nuclear programs requires revitalizing production, as described in the Nuclear Posture Review, she wrote, referring to the guidebook that every presidential administration crafts for managing the arsenal and assessing global threats.

About $1.6 billion of the lab’s new budget is to modernize plutonium operations to prepare for manufacturing 30 pits, an amount that almost triples the most pits the lab has ever produced in a year.

The plutonium funding is a 60 percent increase from last year’s $1 billion, and about five times the $308 million budgeted three years ago.

In an email, a watchdog group called the lab’s ballooning nuclear weapons budget “a staggering amount of money” that was leveraged through world events, such as the war in Ukraine.

“I think the writing should be on the wall that we have entered a new nuclear arms race,” wrote Geoff Wilson, director of the Center for Defense Information at the Project on Government Oversight. “The nuclear spending floodgates have opened in the name of defending against China and a belligerent Russia, and the labs are defense contractors. This is going to be a boom season for them.”

Producing new pits lays the groundwork to create new warheads, Wilson wrote. He noted the lab is developing the first new warhead since the 1980s, the submarine-launched W93.

What’s worrisome about devising new warheads is the computer simulations now used for testing might be rendered obsolete, leading to explosive nuclear testing — banned since 1992 — being revived, he wrote.

The U.S. has the most powerful arsenal in the world and stands little chance of falling behind adversaries, but amping up its weaponry could drive other countries to do likewise, creating a destabilizing effect globally, Wilson wrote.

“I think everyone should be concerned where this sort of escalation could take us, and whether or not this is really necessary for our security, or just going to fund the defense contractor industry base,” he wrote.

New Mexico’s delegates, including Sen. Ben Ray Luján, have expressed enthusiastic support of the lab and funding its nuclear mission, contending it’s essential for national security and boosts the regional economy.

Luján’s office didn’t respond to a request for comment on the lab’s growing budget.

The lab’s economic benefits have been debated in recent years, especially for Los Alamos County. While the lab’s workforce has grown to almost 16,000 employees, an estimated 65 percent live outside Los Alamos.

Supporters point to the lab funding a diverse assortment of nonweapons science, such as a new method to detect methane pollution, more effective ways to combat deadly viruses and a joint effort to develop the Supercam mounted on the Mars rover.

The lab also funds nuclear nonproliferation efforts and renewable energy projects.

Hassan notes the plutonium modernization program will provide $5 million in funding to “minority serving institutions” in New Mexico. Those include Santa Fe, Luna and Central New Mexico community colleges as well as Navajo Technical University, New Mexico State University and the University of New Mexico.

But the nonweapons programs are a lesser part of the lab’s budget. In several public town halls, lab Director Thom Mason has said the nuclear mission is the primary focus.

One longtime anti-nuclear activist said the race to produce pits at the lab has proved to be more costly and difficult than was initially imagined.

In 2017, the nuclear security agency estimated it would cost about $2 billion total to ramp up pit production, and the costs have already grown to many times that amount, said Greg Mello, executive director of the Los Alamos Study Group.

Mello called the endeavor “a runaway train” that’s unsustainable in the long run and unnecessary.

“It’s a product of successful lobbying,” Mello said. “We don’t need new generations of nuclear weapons."


Greg Mello published comment:

With the help of the New Mexico delegation -- laser-focused on pork-barrel spending -- LANL has leveraged two decades of failure into a vast new program.

Under Obama and then in Trump's first year, NNSA did not think LANL's aging, admittedly less-than-safe, PF-4 building could or should be the anchor of a pit production capability. In fact a delegated Secretarial-level Order in June 2017 forbade it. Only after the New Mexico senators threw a fit did Trump's lightweight but blonde NNSA Administrator Lisa Gordon Hagerty (LGH) offer a new strategy in May of 2018, designed to placate them: there would be TWO pit factories built, which would make everybody happy as long as the necessary funding growth could be maintained.

As costs grew, the Office of Management and Budget began to push back, and DOE Secretary Dan Brouillette would not approve the staggering funds request that NNSA laid on his desk on the last possible day for approval. He was furious that NNSA would buck White House guidance, placing him in an impossible position. He did not approve NNSA's budget request, but LGH, acting in secret from the rest of NNSA with Charlie Verdon, former Sandian Drew Walter in the Pentagon, and DoD procurement chief Ellen Lord, organized a demarche to Trump's office a couple of days before Christmas 2019, on the eve of his Senate impeachment trial, involving Republican senators and a "screaming" Liz Cheney, who told Trump that if he didn't approve a gigantic, unprecedented year-on-year funding increase for nuclear weapons, the Senate might assume he (Trump) was less than patriotic -- perhaps in league with Russia.

To survive, Trump gave them the huge increase, but privately told staff that if LGH turned out to be lying to him, he would fire her. It was blackmail, pure and simple. Brouillette then put LGH under surveillance. Trump fired her 4 days after the election in November 2020.

The Savannah River Site's pit factory will be entirely adequate to maintain U.S. nuclear weapons, but will come on-line a decade after LANL's jerry-rigged version -- which, meanwhile, will suck up the bulk of the money, just as the New Mexico delegation has wanted.

All parties understand that LANL can't produce pits adequately, reliably, or for long (safety is usually not a high consideration, except as it affects reliability) -- as one senior analyst in the government put it this year, LANL is "the worst place in the country to make pits" -- and meanwhile it competes with development of a safer facility for scarce equipment, people, management attention, and soon money, as its pit program keeps growing, so far to 6 times the 2017 estimate (which was $3 billion, not $2 billion).

Meanwhile many people imagine they are doing something "important" for the U.S. by working in this program. There are layers of reasons why that is not the case. NNSA and Triad managers are basically lying to their new employees about the importance and patriotism of the LANL pit program, or mindlessly passing on lies they themselves have assimilated.

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